Musings of a Money Manager

Musings of a Money Manager

Is This Time Different?

John Rothe, CMT's avatar
John Rothe, CMT
Jan 13, 2023
∙ Paid

While doing my daily chart review, I noticed an interesting change within the S&P 500 taking place.

SPX chart from John Rothe

The S&P 500 is clearly still in a downtrend as marked by the red, downward trend line.

But notice the MACD; in the past, the MACD had already formed a buy signal — well before the index “touched” the downward trend line.

This time around, we have a newly formed MACD buy signal as the S&P 500 approaches the trendline.

Is having a not-so-aged MACD buy signal a telling sign that investors are thinking the market will break above the trend? Only time will tell.

For now, it’s just one interesting observation of many.

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