Signal vs Noise | Market Analysis & Investment Strategy

Signal vs Noise | Market Analysis & Investment Strategy

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Independent market analysis from John Rothe, CMT. Founder ARTAIS Capital. 30 years. Still managing money every day. Here is what I am seeing. Published multiple times per week.

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Is It Time for Last Year's Winners to Make a Comeback?
Market rotation is starting to favor the old guard
 • John Rothe, CMT
Your Portfolio Was Built for a World That Ended Last Week
Oil above $100. Negative Jobs. A Frozen Fed. Three Things That Weren't Suppose to Happen at the Same Time, Just Did. Here's My Bull/Bear Case and What I…
 • John Rothe, CMT
When Missiles Fly, What Happens to Markets?
A Data-Driven Look at Stocks, Bonds, and Sectors After U.S. Military Strikes
 • John Rothe, CMT
Nvidia's $120 Billion Year — And Why the Stock Dropped
Record earnings. Flat stock. What the market is really telling us about AI's $650 billion bet.
 • John Rothe, CMT
This Chart Pattern Last Appeared at the End of the Dot-Com Crash
Microsoft is 20% below its 200-day moving average. The rotation graphs are curling Northeast. History doesn't repeat — but it rhymes loudly.
 • John Rothe, CMT
The Golden "Hook": Why Gold’s Refusal to Drop is a Major Signal
While the consensus waited for a rotation into risk, the RRG just flashed a rare "higher low." Here’s what it means for the S&P 500
 • John Rothe, CMT
Signal vs. Noise: A Technical Look at High-Yield Spreads
Inflation and trade wars are dominating the 24-hour news cycle, but the BofA High-Yield Spread remains below the cloud. What this means for the S&P 500…
 • John Rothe, CMT
The NVIDIA Trap: Why the S&P 500 is Flat While New Winners are Soaring
The index is 7% NVIDIA, but the real money is moving elsewhere. Here is how we use Relative Rotation Graphs (RRGs) to spot the Great Value Rotation of…
 • John Rothe, CMT
The Disney Inflection: Technical Clouds, CEO Succession, and the Road to FY26
$26B in revenue and a new CEO: Is the Disney turnaround real? A Look at what the charts are telling us
 • John Rothe, CMT
Why the S&P 500 Feels Stuck—and What to Watch Next
If you’ve felt like the S&P 500 is “stuck” despite constant bullish headlines, it’s worth looking at what the index is actually made of—and what’s…
 • John Rothe, CMT
Further Crash or Is It Time to Buy?
Global stock markets aggressively sold off on the news that US tariffs would be more significant than expected.
 • John Rothe, CMT
Stock Market Crash Ahead?
The US stock market continues to decline, with investors starting to worry that rising inflation combined with slower economic growth may lead to a…
 • John Rothe, CMT
Signal vs Noise | Market Analysis & Investment Strategy
Signal vs Noise | Market Analysis & Investment Strategy
Independent market analysis from John Rothe, CMT. Founder ARTAIS Capital. 30 years. Still managing money every day. Here is what I am seeing. Published multiple times per week.
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